WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include A’ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell [8/3/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, August 3, 2025, have landed—with A’ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday’s first basket predictions pull from our proprietary WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today’s basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [August 3, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday’s WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)
First Basket Probability

A’ja Wilson (Aces)
16.9%

Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)
16.2%

Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)
15.7%

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
🔒

Elizabeth Williams (Sky)
🔒

Shakira Austin (Mystics)
🔒

Tina Charles (Sun)
🔒

Brionna Jones (Dream)
🔒

Janelle Salaun (Valkyries)
🔒

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)
🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today’s games is A’ja Wilson, with a probability of 16.9%.

Following Wilson closely are Kelsey Mitchell at 16.2% and Nneka Ogwumike at 15.7%.

Alyssa Thomas and Elizabeth Williams are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [8/3/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today’s WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our independent predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Sunday’s WNBA slate in the game between the Fever and Storm. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 5.1% according to our analysis.

Dimers’ model not only features Mitchell for her 5.1% betting edge but also ranks her among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the preceding list.

For today’s full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [8/3/2025]

Conclusion

For August 3, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions showcase big-name players such as A’ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell and Nneka Ogwumike—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top pick, producing a calculated 5.1% edge at +800 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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