rewrite this title Outfield Trade Possibilities For The Astros

The Astros have spent the entire offseason looking for a left-handed hitting outfielder. They swapped Jesús Sánchez for Joey Loperfido last week. That saves around $6MM in the difference between Sánchez’s arbitration salary and Loperfido’s league minimum sum but doesn’t change their lineup balance. They added Cavan Biggio on a minor league deal and are reportedly looking at Michael Conforto, who could also settle for a non-roster invite after a rough year in Los Angeles. They’re fine depth targets but not locks to even be on the MLB roster — much less to be a meaningful upgrade.

Free agency only offers those types of reclamation targets at this point. Beyond Conforto, there are also Max Kepler (suspended for the first 80 games after a failed PED test), Jesse Winker and Alex Verdugo. If the Astros are going to make a significant move, it’ll have to be via trade. Most of their trade pursuits have been tied to their willingness to field offers on Isaac Paredes given their infield logjam. That’s one avenue but obviously not the only way they could trade for a lefty-hitting outfielder.

MLBTR readers are familiar with the top trade targets who fit the bill. Either Jarren Duran or Wilyer Abreu would be an ideal fit but seem likelier to remain in Boston. The Cardinals could deal Lars Nootbaar this spring but may prefer to hold him until the deadline, as they’d be selling a little low with their left fielder coming off a pair of heel surgeries. Last week’s Caleb Durbin/Kyle Harrison swap is a reminder that teams explore various avenues that don’t involve players who have been the subject of public trade speculation. It’s safe to assume the Astros have had some of those conversations behind the scenes. Let’s run through a handful of affordable left-handed bats whom they could look to pry from another club.

Daylen Lile, Nationals (pre-arbitration, controllable through 2031)

Lile made his MLB debut in late May and hit the ground running, at least offensively. He ran a .299/.347/.498 slash line with nine home runs through 351 plate appearances. Lile is an excellent pure hitter. He has advanced contact ability and has always hit a ton of line drives. Although he doesn’t have huge power, he should have a strong offensive floor based on the batting average alone. He’s a career .273 hitter in the minors and had the highest “expected” batting average in MLB last year (.302), per Statcast.

All that said, the 23-year-old looks more like a quality complementary player than a cornerstone of a rebuilding Nationals team. Lile was a mid-tier prospect during his climb through the farm system. Scouts have never doubted the hit tool but have questioned how much all-around impact he’ll make. He has fringe-average power. Although he has plus straight line speed, his reads in the outfield are rough. Defensive Runs Saved had Lile a dismal 14 runs below average in just over 600 innings. He was 10 runs worse than average by Statcast.

Single-season defensive metrics can be fluky, but those grades match the eye test. Here are a handful of examples of Lile turning what should have been easy outs into hits, largely by playing very conservatively at the catch point. Maybe he’ll improve with time, but he’s not a good outfielder right now. The Astros haven’t cared much about left field defense, playing Yordan Alvarez, late-career Michael Brantley, and Jose Altuve out there in recent years. The Nationals have a new front office that played no part in drafting or developing Lile. They’d presumably be open to conversations.