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Home NBA

Best NBA Player Prop Bets 10/23/25

October 23, 2025
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Best NBA Player Prop Bets 10/23/25
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Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player props and bets for tonight.

PLAYER PROPS

1. AARON NESMITH OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+130)

Odds: +130Probability: 53.5%Projection: 2.8Edge: 10%Game: Thunder vs Pacers (7:30PM EST)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found the first best player prop bet for Today, finding value in the total 3-pointers prop market. With our sights set on Aaron Nesmith over 2.5 3-pointers made in the Thunder vs Pacers matchup. Nesmith has averaged 1.9 3PM last season, with a 2.4 3PM average during the NBA Finals. Our model is expecting Nesmith to put up 2.8 3-pointers in tonight’s game.

We recommend placing a wager on Aaron Nesmith Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an attractive edge of 10%, with +130 odds.

2. ANDREW NEMBHARD OVER 11.5 POINTS (-115)

Odds: -115Probability: 50.1%Projection: 13.2Edge: 8.6%Game: Thunder vs Pacers (7:30PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate features Andrew Nembhard in the Thunder vs Pacers matchup. Showing value in the total points prop market, Nembhard averaged 12.5 points in the last postseason. Nembhard was able to exceed this line in two of his last five games, racking up 15/17/7/10/8 in their series against the Thunder. Matched up against the Thunder again tonight, our model believes that there’s a lot of room for Nembhard to exceed this line.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Andrew Nembhard Over 11.5 Points, with an edge of 8.6% at -115 odds.

3. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 11.5 REBOUNDS MADE (-117)

Odds: -117Probability: 52.2%Projection: 12.3Edge: 7.8%Game: Nuggets vs Warriors (10PM EST)

The last best NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Nuggets vs Warriors game, with Nikola Jokic showing value in the rebounds made prop market. Our model has narrowed down Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Rebounds Made, another solid wager to take in tonight’s NBA slate. Last season against the Warriors Jokic was able to end the season with an average of 11 rebounds per game. Our model is expecting Jokic to finish today’s game with 12.3 rebounds made.

Our model predicts Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Rebounds Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 7.8% edge on the -117 odds.

BEST BETS

1. NUGGETS +2 (-105)

Odds: -105Probability: 50.4%Edge: 3.1%Game: Nuggets vs Warriors (10PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Nuggets vs Warriors matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Nuggets +2 is a solid wager. Throughout last season the Nuggets were able to beat and cover this number in 2/3 games. With the Nuggets not having any injuries we can expect them to come out hot, moving the ball to the best scoring matchup. Our model suspects that tonights game will be a close one, with the Nuggets coming out on top in the end.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Nuggets +2 through. With -105 odds and a 3.1% edge, this is our best bet of the day.

2. THUNDER -7.5 (+100)

Odds: +100Probability: 50.2%Edge: 2.4%Game: Thunder vs Pacers (7:30PM EST)

The next best bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered takes place between the Thunder vs Pacers. Our model predicts that Thunder -7.5 is a solid wager for today’s slate. Last season the Thunder were able to cover this spread in 1/2 matchups, only falling two points short from covering in both. Our model believes that after winning the Championship, the Thunder will be able to cover tonight’s number.

The play here is Lakers +14.5. with odds of -105. Our model has identified a 3.9% edge for this particular wager.

READ MORE: Victor Wembanyama Shares Surprising Take on His Height Amidst Rumors



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