Prop bet #1: A’ja slowed by success
Despite the headlines slowing down, A’ja Wilson has still been performing well. She has surpassed the points prop in six out of her last 11 games, scoring over 30 points three times and continuing to dominate the league.
In the games where Wilson fell short of the points prop, two were against the Washington Mystics where she scored 11 and 18 points on just 27 total shots.
Wilson’s offensive aggressiveness in those games was lower, with an average of 19.8 shot attempts in the other nine games. The decrease was due to blowout wins where Wilson played fewer minutes.
With the Las Vegas Aces favored by 12.5 points, Wilson may not need to play a full game today.
A’Ja Wilson prop: Under 26.5 points (-110 at BetRivers)
Prop bet #2: Caitlin Clark’s continued distribution
Caitlin Clark has been excelling in assists, with at least 11 in six of her last seven games and averaging 11.7 per game. The Indiana Fever offense has improved with Clark’s playmaking, making the Over 8.5 assists prop appealing.
Until Clark’s streak slows down, betting on her to reach 10 assists is a valuable opportunity.
Caitlin Clark prop: Over 9.5 assists (+120 at DraftKings)
Prop bet #3: Gray gets smothered
Allisha Gray has been performing well in Rhyne Howard’s absence, but she may struggle against the Seattle Storm’s defense, known for limiting three-point attempts and success rates.
Seattle’s focus on Gray due to Atlanta’s struggling offense could hinder her performance.
Allisha Gray prop: Under 17.5 points (-120 at DraftKings)
