The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun, the top two teams in the WNBA, are set to clash for the third time this season on Tuesday night. New York aims to extend their season series lead to 3-0.
Connecticut, trailing the Liberty by 1.5 games, may have an opportunity to secure a road victory due to injuries to Breanna Stewart and Betnijah Laney-Hamilton.
New York has already triumphed twice in Connecticut this season and is favored by six points at home in Tuesday’s game, according to oddsmakers.
To analyze how to approach this key matchup, let’s first examine the latest odds, injury reports, and key players to watch.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Spread
Moneyline
Total
Sun Injury Report
Liberty Injury Report
Connecticut Sun
Rachel Banham, known for her sharp shooting, delivered an exceptional performance in a recent win over the Mercury, hitting 8 of 11 three-pointers. Banham’s scoring ability could be vital for Connecticut against the Liberty, given their previous struggles. She averages 4.9 points per game, shooting 36.5% from 3-point range this season.
New York Liberty
Sabrina Ionescu, the All-Star guard for the Liberty, has been in impressive form, scoring 21 or more points in the last four games. With season averages of 19.4 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per game, shooting 42.2% from the field, she is a key player to watch. Ionescu contributed significantly in New York’s recent victory over the Sun.
If Stewart and Laney-Hamilton are sidelined, the Liberty may encounter difficulties against the strong Sun defense. Connecticut boasts the second-best defensive rating in the league and has contested previous games closely with the Liberty this year.
Notably, the Liberty have struggled in ATS (against the spread) situations at home, posting a 2-10 record at Barclays Center and an 8-14 record as favorites in 2024.
Conversely, the Sun have a decent 5-5 ATS record on the road, suggesting they could compete well in this game, especially with expectations of a low-scoring affair.
Despite the Liberty’s strong performance this season, it may be risky to bet on them given their ATS struggles.
Pick: Sun +6 (-110)
Odds are subject to change and update periodically.
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