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(This story was updated to add new information.)
Take a look at the 2025 betting upsets in the UFC.
For an underdog to be included on this list, the favorite had to be a consensus minimum of -150 across major sportsbooks. That will keep the list from being populated with truly minor upsets from betting lines that easily could have swung the opposite way.
Fighters are listed alphabetically, followed by an event-by-event upset tracker.
(Updated through UFC Fight Night 251)
Raoni Barcelos vs. Payton Talbott
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.Result: Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)Odds: Talbott -1200, Barcelos +750
Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025Location: UFC Apex, Las VegasResult: Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04Odds: Johnson -180, Bunes +150
Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025Location: Las VegasResult: Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues via TKO (punches) – Round 4, 0:21Odds: Rodrigues -260, Cannonier +210
Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues, UFC Fight Night 251 (via UFC)
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas
Gallery
Photos: Mackenzie Dern through the years
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025Location: UFC Apex, Las VegasResult: Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56Odds: Ribas -190, Dern +160
Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.Result: Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)Odds: Nurmagomedov -280, Dvalishvili +225
Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.Result: Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)Odds: Nakamura -675, Gafurov +490
Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya
Nassourdine Imavov celebrates after defeating Israel Adesanya in their men’s middleweight fight during the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Fight Night 250 in Riyadh on February 1, 2025. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP)
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi ArabiaResult: Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30Odds: Adesanya -170, Imavov +140
Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025Location: UFC Apex, Las VegasResult: Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)Odds: Gadzhiyasulov -275, Lopes +215
Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset
Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025Location: Qudos Bank Arena, SydneyResult: Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Odds: Jousset -210, Micallef +170
Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi ArabiaResult: Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Odds: Nurmagomedov -220, Oliveira +180
Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi ArabiaResult: Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)Odds: Magomedov -220, Page +180
Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa
Gallery
Photos: Ailin Perez through the years
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.Result: Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)Odds: Rosa -250, Perez +205
Andre Petroski
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025Location: Las VegasResult: Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Odds: Vieira -285, Petroski +230
Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025Location: UFC Apex, Las VegasResult: Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Odds: Bashi -270 Rodriguez +215
Nazim Sadykhov
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025Location: Las VegasResult: Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim via TKO (doctor’s stoppage) – Round 1, 5:00Odds: Bonfim -225, Sadykhov +185
Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025Location: UFC Apex, Las VegasResult: Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31Odds: Medic -225, Soriano +180
Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele
Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025Location: Qudos Bank Arena, SydneyResult: Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)Odds: Steele -340, Zhu +270
UFC Fight Night 251 upsets
UFC 312 upsets
UFC Fight Night 250 upsets
UFC 311 upsets
UFC Fight Night 249 upsets
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