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We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player bets for tonight’s NBA slate. (11/21)
1. LUGUENTZ DORT OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+144)
Odds: +144Probability: 50.3%Projection: 2.8Edge: 9.3%Game: Thunder vs Jazz (10PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bet for today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place in the Thunder vs Jazz matchup – with Luguentz Dort showing value in the total 3-pointers made prop market. Our model has narrowed down Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet for today. Over the course of his last 5 matchups, Dort was able to exceed this line twice, showing 4/4/1/1/1 3PM in each game. With our model projecting a total of 2.8 3PM in tonight’s matchup, we think this is a solid wager.
Our model recommends placing a wager on Luguentz Dort Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made at +144 odds and an attractive 9.3% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+122)
Odds: +122Probability: 53.6%Projection: 5.1Edge: 8.5%Game: Pelicans vs Mavericks (8:30PM EST)
The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends comes in the Pelicans vs Mavericks game, with Zion Williamson showing value in the total assists made prop market. So far this season Zion has been able to average a total of 4.7 assists per game. With our model projecting a total of 5.1 AST made against the Mavericks in tonight’s matchup. Over the course of Zion’s last five matchups, he’s been able to rack up 5/6/3/2/7 assists in each game. Our model suspects that with a probability of 53.6% and a projection of 5.1 AST made, this is a solid wager to have.
The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Zion Williamson Over 4.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 8.5% edge on the +122 odds.
3. RJ BARRETT OVER 5.5 TOTAL REBOUNDS (+118)
Odds: +118Probability: 51.8%Projection: 5.8Edge: 5.9%Game: Wizards vs Raptors (7:30PM EST)
According to our model, our last best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate takes place in the Wizards vs Raptors game, with RJ Barrett showing value in the total rebounds made prop market. So far this season, Barrett is averaging 4.8 rebounds per game. With Barrett being matched up against the Wizards , along with our model predicting Barrett to finish tonight’s game with a total of 5.8 REB, we believe Barrett will have ample time to exceed this line.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on RJ Barrett Over 5.5 Total Rebounds, with an edge of 5.9% at +118 odds.
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